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måndag 24 oktober 2016

Which perception of reality do you live in?

In these days of much (well-deserved) ado about Nobel laureates, the very fabric of reality is highlighted mainly in the physics prize.

Business is sometimes described as a (black) art, but in many ways I'd propose that it's more akin to science.  Consider the following method described by renowned physicist Richard Feynman - when explaining how a scientific law is established (freely)

1. Guess the law
2. Compute the consequences of the guess accordingly and its implications
3. Compare computation results to experience or nature (observations)
4. If the law disagrees with observations, it is wrong (sic!)

Similarly, business reality - your scientific law - is what you measure in and adequately can confirm as correct in your business, the foundation for how to direct your investments, and base your decisions on.  Perhaps, at some point – even automate decisions on.

Fail to measure - measure correctly, and the right things - and you will fail to manage your business.

Recent events seeing flash drops in the stock (DJIA) and currency markets (Pound Sterling) give evidence of what can happen and go terribly wrong, when autonomous decision and trading systems act on incorrect data and algorithms.

The old management adage "You cannot manage what you do not measure" rings true in many ways.

(For physics aficionados; the fact proven through different experiments that when observed on the quantum level, reality doesn't seem to actually manifest before we attempt to measure (observe) it, is even more intricate.  Luckily, business operations aren't that capricious.)

Secondly, failing to connect incentives to the right and balanced set of measurements, will inevitably yield some very unproductive behavior from the employees in the organization.

One of my favorite examples - urban myth or not - is the software company who wanted to minimize the occurrence of bugs in their application suite, and ingeniously incentivized the R&D department through rewarding the discovery of bugs in the code / functionality.

-          Needless to say, as the cynics of you will have figured out at the start of the example, the number of bugs in the software didn't seem to go down, at all ..

How can one go about to accurately observe, measure, and direct ones business and organization?  Depending on its current state - it may be a lengthy journey, but there's ROI and reward to be had at every step along the way.  Though there may not be a pot of gold at the end of the journey (in reality it truly never ends, you just become better - as an organization, Customer, and supplier) there are some business benefits enabled in the process which are not only financial – it builds capabilities which enable business development, in a positively reinforcing upward spiral.  Similar to machine tooling; we can’t assemble a production line without a basic spanner or screwdriver at some point, and automation & robotics is a step further down the line of maturity, rapidly becoming a major driving competitive force regardless if you’re in the service or manufacturing business.

From an IT perspective, there’s a similar dependency between data, information, knowledge, tasks/activities, processes, and the level of accuracy and control that can be asserted over each component across the business.  With every step and level, small discrepancies can amount to major inconsistencies towards the end of the chain – making checks and balances, and (automated) mechanisms to confirm data accuracy over time extremely important.

It’s these building blocks that make up the digital dimension of your business, the Digital Customer Experience - harboring the potential of getting closer to- and gaining a better understanding of what your Customer really wants/needs, and leveraging that knowledge into market position or industry partnerships (or both). 

Speaking of automation - something tells me that we’ll struggle to explain to coming generations what came first – the 3D printer, or the 3D printer factory – but until we get there, let’s focus on the next step that can be improved in your business for starters.

A follow-up post will delve into the details of how a maturity ladder improving the information and process tooling may be approached and climbed step by step.  Keep an eye out for the latest updates!

By Fredric Travaglia, Business Development Consultant @ Enfo
 
P.S. On a side note Mr Feynmans life and adventures are brilliantly captured in two books anyone with a  slight interest in nature, reality, physics or just life will enjoy – The Pleasure of Finding Things Out, and Surely you’re joking Mr Feynman.  Regardless if it’s the ins and outs of your business, or the fabric of nature, they highlight – as the first title states – the pleasure of finding things out, because you can!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EYPapE-3FRw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Flash_Crash
http://www.travaglia.se/2016/10/the-digital-customer-experience.html
http://www.travaglia.se/2015/10/who-is-your-customer.html
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/08/pound-sterling-flash-crash-needed-computers-but-a-human-was-probably-the-cause.html
http://www.thedigitaldimension.com
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Surely_You%27re_Joking,_Mr._Feynman!

måndag 17 oktober 2016

Avoiding the Great Extinction

Regardless of if you are in the manufacturing business, or if you operate in the service industry – competition is a constant, and the pursuit of alternative solutions and suppliers is never ending.  How can you avoid going the way of the Dodo, and stay competitive in business?

Looking at recent history, there are plenty of evident changes where lessons can be learned, and insights into what the differentiating factors may be to either avoid a similar fate, or benefit from the rolling trends and changes occurring.

Manufacturing has continued to migrate and become outsourced, off-shored, over the past 25 years
From textiles, to heavy manufacturing and high tech / electronics, the exodus is moving higher and higher in the value chain.

East and South Asia offer superior labor arbitrage unrivalled on local western markets when global free trade facilitates the transfer of manufactured goods and eliminates trade barriers.
In the pursuit of faster, better, cheaper (and redundant manufacturing capacity where import tariffs still apply) it's a race to the bottom on cost, when outputs and tooling (quality) are standardized

The latest example from a Nordic perspective is the telecom industry where practically all manufacturing is shut down (Nokia, Ericsson) regardless if it is handsets or network equipment.

Design, intellectual property and service (consumer, Customer) relationship resides with local market - together with higher steps in the value chain.  "Designed in Palo Alto, CA - Made in China", is the new black.

The IT and service industry is the current big wave leveraging commoditized outputs and economies of scale.  Callcenters, Customer services facilities, IT Services are under immense price pressure - HCL, Tata/TCS, Tech Mahindra .. the list of huge resource pools of standardized competencies is growing and becoming more complex and sophisticated by the hour.  The argument that it's only applicable for non-creative work is disappearing as rapidly as the budgets allocated to local suppliers.

 As if that wasn't enough to assimilate in existing business models, the hardware and capacity services is undergoing a silent revolution where Amazon (Web Services), Microsoft (Azure), IBM (Softlayer) are offering dollars' worth of hardware capacity on the dime through their massive datacenter investments (Microsoft, Google, Apple, Amazon), combined with extreme flexibility and service expansion "on the dial".  The incentive to invest in in-house server capacity and capabilities is rapidly diminishing, together with related management services, and local hosting services.

What countermeasures are available to local players on the market - what can you offer, what do you need to be and do to become indispensable, essential, to your Customers value creation and offering to their Customers?

To summarize –
1. Package and bundle competencies
2. Offer domain and industry expertise
3. Offer fixed price solutions – minimizing risk
4. Strive for partnership rather than vendor-supplier status
5. Offer Excellent Service

1. Packaging and service bundling of multi-discipline competencies
Like any manufacturing operation will prove, the more complex the output - the better the margin, as more value is packaged and provided to the Customer.  Lumber in a stack and nails in a box yield little margin, but prefab housing is good business.  It's the combination of basic skills, tooling, complex skills and experience that raises the yield in the value chain.

2. Domain and industry offering
Regardless of your industry and business, that is typically what you know best.  If you can get a Customer who's in the same business, you can guide them past all the paths they shouldn't be going down, based on your own experience.

The problem is that the players in your industry and business are most likely competition, rather than potential Customers – but most Customers are looking for something in addition to the bread and butter content of the core offering you provide together with the competition in your field.  Differentiating and leveraging the core offering with domain and industry specific offerings, providing solutions and value rather than just the nuts and bolts for DIY (the assembled table and a takeaway order for dinner rather than the flat pack assembly and directions to the grocery store)

3. Fixed price models
Coupled with taking out risk from the equation for the Customer, and thus offering fixed price for a delimited outcome – suppliers start to become enablers and business partners rather than just vendors.

4. Partnerships - ..
.. with the Customers - becoming part of their operation, winning and losing together, sharing risks and rewards.  Proactively engage and collaborate with their strategic business initiatives.
.. with frontline players who can complement your offerings with domain and industry specific expertise.

Mixing these factors, interfaces and values provided to the Customer – you become indispensable, a critical key component and success factor – to your Customer.

This makes your business incomparable to standardized, commoditized offerings, measured and priced in $/unit (Gb, hour, FTE ..) - making the wave of outsourcing, offshoring and detrimental price-race to the bottom irrelevant.

5. Offer Excellent Service
Realize, accept and act on the fact that the offering, the value, the services and the Customer relationships are only as good as yesterdays’ delivery, and that your competition is constantly looking to get an edge over what we already offer - so should you!

Piece of cake, right – you’re already doing this, or planning to do it?  Perhaps not, but more importantly – there has never been a more advantageous time to endeavor to do it, than now!

The opportunities and capabilities to collaborate closely, share information on Customer behavior, real-time forecasts, etc are unprecedented given the information technology tooling and platforms available.

The Digital Customer Experience, is yet another step towards building that close-knit, indispensable position in relation to your Customer, and obtaining information crucial to creating partnerships with co-suppliers of expertise and complementary value.  Take a step forward to create and capture value in the Digital Dimension!

By Fredric Travaglia, Business Development Consultant @ Enfo

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-sweden-ericsson-idUSKCN11S0G9
https://www.engadget.com/2012/01/22/why-apples-products-are-designed-in-california-but-assembled/
http://www.winbeta.org/news/microsoft-spend-15-billion-building-data-centers-year
http://datacenterfrontier.com/cloud-wars-intensify-google-adds-more-data-centers/
http://www.datacenterknowledge.com/archives/2015/02/23/apple-spend-2b-two-massive-european-data-centers/
http://www.seattletimes.com/business/technology/amazon-microsoft-invest-billions-as-computing-shifts-to-cloud/
http://www.thedigitaldimension.com/Posts/Video-Logs/2016/Innovation/Create-and-capture-value-in-the-digital-dimension
http://www.thedigitaldimension.com/